Our first story is looking at the macro environment, where the UK inflation rate appears to finally be getting under control. In an article from Sky News, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is the Bank of England's main measure of inflation, has dropped to their 2% target for the first time in nearly three years. Despite this, yesterday the Bank of England chose to hold interest rates at 5.25% due to concerns that inflation could tick up again, as other inflationary metrics, like wage growth, came in higher than expected.
But what does this mean for Bitcoin? Well, lower interest rates and reduced borrowing costs tend to be positive for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, UK monetary policy is unlikely to be the only relevant factor. Similar to the UK, the Federal Reserve in the US has also held rates between 5.25% and 5.5%. In contrast, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada have already begun to cut interest rates, with their first 25 basis point cuts earlier this month. Analysts will continue to monitor the situation closely in the UK to try and anticipate when the first rate cut might happen, but currently, they are predicting the first cut between August and September later this year.
Our next story is coming from Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, which has increased their planned stock sale from $500 million up to $700 million to raise additional funds for purchasing Bitcoin amid strong investor demand. This is a continuation of Saylor's strategy to borrow dollars over a long duration at low interest rates to then buy Bitcoin. The company has been accumulating Bitcoin since 2020 and earlier this year achieved the milestone of holding 1% of the total Bitcoin supply that will ever be in circulation. This capital injection signals MicroStrategy's continued conviction in Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset amid the current market turbulence.
The structure of selling convertible senior notes gives MicroStrategy flexibility, as note holders receive interest payments but can also convert them to MicroStrategy stock before they reach maturity in 2032. If the price of Bitcoin continues to appreciate, this gives holders the opportunity to benefit through the stock conversion option, but also protects them from downside risk due to their senior unsecured status.
Now, shifting gears, our next story is looking at the data surrounding the Bitcoin mining industry, assessing emissions and the effect on the environment. In a post on X from Bitcoin ESG analyst Daniel Batten, he has found that Cambridge publicly acknowledges that the age of their Bitcoin mining data leads to an overestimation in their emission estimates by approximately 25%, and their estimates do not account for activities that could reasonably be expected to reduce emissions, such as off-grid mining. Luckily, there is data out there giving a more complete picture of Bitcoin mining and its effect on the environment, and these are being picked up by some media outlets and databases. However, according to Daniel, many still make policy decisions based on old data.
Our next story is coming from Brazil, where the largest bank, Ita , opens Bitcoin and crypto trading to all users. The bank's investment app, ION, now allows users to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum after initially offering crypto trading to only select clients in December 2023. The move followed weekly surveys with initial users showing strong demand for Bitcoin and crypto services, with the app now surpassing 3.5 million downloads. According to this article from Bitcoin Magazine, this endorsement by a conservatively regulated institution like Ita also further validates Bitcoin as an investable innovation that is here to stay, and we could see more mainstream adoption with this accessibility improvement in Latin America.
Also in Latin America, our final story is coming from El Salvador, where President Bukele, just two weeks after being sworn in for his second term, is launching a pro-Bitcoin bank project. The bank, if it comes to fruition, could offer Bitcoin investors financial services without the restrictions imposed by traditional banks and would not be subject to the same stringent laws. This initiative is yet to be approved and does have several hurdles to overcome. Despite this, Bukele's proposals reflect his vision for a modern, technologically advanced El Salvador where Bitcoin plays an essential role in the country's economic transformation following the adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender back in 2021.